Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.010357 0.012494 0.015166 0.018829 0.023855 0.030720 0.041221
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.007705 0.010086 0.013450 0.018806 0.027673 0.043028 0.075399
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.006270 0.008620 0.012203 0.018499 0.030439 0.055455 0.126912
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.005158 0.007307 0.010743 0.017183 0.030593 0.063021 0.183688
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004440 0.006443 0.009774 0.016367 0.031282 0.072605 0.277934
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003997 0.005938 0.009290 0.016299 0.033598 0.089495 0.498984
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003714 0.005648 0.009121 0.016808 0.037675 0.118621 1.187555
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003430 0.005311 0.008791 0.016862 0.040594 0.149495 3.204729
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003116 0.004880 0.008210 0.016166 0.040863 0.168921 8.112137
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002886 0.004576 0.007832 0.015872 0.042394 0.201639 50.340923
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002778 0.004484 0.007872 0.016660 0.048519 0.294581 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002699 0.004435 0.007994 0.017716 0.056848 0.473871 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002605 0.004368 0.008112 0.018978 0.068776 0.931727 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002437 0.004138 0.007830 0.018965 0.074631 1.521269 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002275 0.003901 0.007490 0.018656 0.078678 2.432328 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002081 0.003577 0.006898 0.017324 0.074612 2.663200 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001931 0.003336 0.006480 0.016499 0.073636 3.433290 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001834 0.003194 0.006288 0.016430 0.078559 6.862021 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001771 0.003120 0.006255 0.016945 0.089559 31.464447 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001694 0.003010 0.006113 0.016999 0.096990 304.229145 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001595 0.002843 0.005801 0.016296 0.095811 2273.840641 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001519 0.002722 0.005600 0.015999 0.099039 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001488 0.002697 0.005654 0.016796 0.117832 NaN NaN